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Rising Credit Card Defaults Signal Trouble for U.S. Economy PDF Print E-mail

December 30, 2024 - Credit card defaults in the U.S. have reached their highest levels since the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, painting a concerning picture of the financial health of many Americans. In the first nine months of 2024 alone, lenders wrote off $46 billion in seriously delinquent balances, a 50% increase from the same period the previous year. This surge in defaults highlights the strain on low-income households, whose financial resilience has been eroded by persistent inflation and elevated borrowing costs.

During the pandemic, consumers exited lockdowns with strong savings and increased spending power. Credit card issuers capitalized on this, extending credit to borrowers who might not have previously qualified. However, this period of financial optimism has since given way to significant challenges.

Total credit card balances surpassed $1 trillion in mid-2023, driven by rising living costs and aggressive spending. Coupled with higher interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, Americans unable to pay off their balances in full have paid a staggering $170 billion in interest over the past year.

Low-income households, in particular, have been hit hard. Many have depleted their savings, leaving them vulnerable to mounting debt obligations. These financial pressures are reflected in the rising delinquency rates, which remain nearly a percentage point higher than pre-pandemic levels, and the $37 billion in credit card debt that is at least one month overdue.

The increase in defaults and delinquencies poses broader risks to the economy. As consumers struggle to manage debt, their spending power diminishes—a troubling sign for an economy heavily reliant on consumer activity. Higher default rates also put pressure on banks, potentially curbing their willingness to extend credit, which could stifle economic growth.

For households, managing debt is becoming an increasingly urgent priority. Experts recommend prioritizing high-interest debt repayment, avoiding new credit card balances, and building emergency savings where possible. On a larger scale, the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to interest rate cuts in 2025 suggests that relief for borrowers may be slow to arrive. 

by Jim Malmberg

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